5 trillion dollars…
In a recent addition of ‘This Week’, Digby Jones (former CBI Director General) talked about the key role of the City of London to our wealth creating hopes – how it had helped to provide a sizeable chunk of our tax take in the past and could do so again – and therefore we need to ensure we can encourage it do the same again. Michael Portillo on the same programme however struck a word of caution reminding Digby not to get too enamoured with the wealth creating capacity of the City by stating that over 5 trillion dollars had been lost in the value of pension funds as a result of the recent banking fuelled financial collapse. On a recent Question Time there was talk that we will need to earn our way out of this financial hole and that private industry will be key. As one Question time participant asked, ‘weren’t the banks priviate?’
Triumph of political will over economic reality…
Paul Mason writing in the New Statesman outlines the case for how the Eurozone was constructed on a falsehood that is unravelling now under financial pressure. The falsehood that southern Europe was the ‘equal’ of northern Europe. With the crisis, northern Europe has to take the main risk for any default in return for imposing austerity measures. However, the real risk according to Mason is borne on the streets with the likelihood of increased social unrest (See Paul Mason in the New Statesman 24 May 2010).
Bronwen Maddox provides an overview in a recent edition of Prospects magazine (June 2010) on the potentially fatal mess the Eurozone now finds itself in as political will triumphed over economic reality. In hindsight it seems so clear that how could nations as distinct as Greece and Germany ever form economic union. Events unfolding may make the unthinkable happen.
In Mason’s piece, the suggestion is that unless the big exporting countries stimulate their own domestic demand to allow countries in fiscal crisis to export their way back to growth, Europe faces a double dip recession. The main implication of these comments from Mervyn King are that countries like Germany need to ask its consumers to borrow more and its voters to rubberstamp bailouts for southern Europe – very unlikely!
The big picture…
Larry Eliot (see http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/may/31/world-crisis-economic-experimentation) confronts head on the view that there can be any big picture explanations of the world. He suggests that since the demise of communism the west has had three competing belief systems – free market capitalism; Europe and environmentalism. Up until 2007 the belief was that markets worked best and the role of the state was to remove barriers to trade. The outcome of this belief system was to make a small elite very wealthy and growth was a bubble and indebtedness masqueraded as wealth. As someone recently said this has led to the unappetising situation where we have privatised profit and socialised debt.
If 2007 put pay to the view that markets will triumph, the current fiasco in the Eurozone seriously questions the belief, fuelled during the recent financial bubble, that bolting together a wide range of different countries together would be successful. He suggests that countries such as China and India are better able to exist without some kind of ‘meta narrative’ and more with a mixed economy approach that existed in the west in the heyday of social democracy. An approach of what works is what counts. I suspect that the success of China and India is in no small part to the strength and potential of their economies which is something the west appears to be fast losing.
Meanwhile, in a critique of recent times Jon Cruddas and Jonathan Rutherford refer to the emergence to power of a banking oligarchy that oversaw a huge transfer of wealth to the rich and powerful. For those on more modest incomes to maintain their standard of living they increased their borrowing fuelling the current debt crisis. Meanwhile the Labour government encouraged more ‘entrepreneurialism’ through a more flexible labour market using short term contracts, agency work, sub-contracting and hiring the ‘self employed’. Between 1978-2008 4 million manufacturing jobs were lost whilst in the poorest communities a culture of failure has taken root where children expect nothing and give nothing in return. Governments and oppositions took tax revenues that were a fraction of the City’s totals in return for cheering the return of a new golden age of finance. (See Jon Cruddas and Jonathan Rutherford in the New Statesman 31 May 2010)
Going to the gym…
Recently a friend went to the gym. They were keen to get fit and wanted to go to a comfortable and clean gym (they had been to the public gym and pool but felt it was poorer quality and very unappealing). Membership is over £60 per month and if you pay more you can get someone to help you. As my friend readily admits left to do it alone it is unlikely they will persevere.
We would like to get people more active we know it could be good for people on many levels most importantly on health. The Chief Medical Officer suggests that 5 times 30 minutes is recommended for a healthy life but are we providing the right facilities, at a reasonable price with the necessary support to encourage participation. When we ask the inactive what are the barriers to participation facilities, price and encouragement are flagged up very highly. Has the cost and provision of many things that matter, like keeping physically active, seemingly gone beyond the reach of the many?
To remain competitive…
Take major industries like retail – you have to work full time to earn just over £1000 per month – where the hours are very long and on top of this you have to factor in travel and preparation time which can end up leaving you with a few hours each day of your own in which you need to relax, eat, wash and maintain your accommodation. Days off can be busy with family, friends, shopping or just sleeping to prepare for another week. I suspect this to be the reality for many and we are told it is what is needed because that is all the economy can afford if we are to remain competitive.
I don’t know what others experiences are, however, I am unsurprised now that retail staff can be so unhelpful and unsmiling? Recently on a trip to a store to buy some clothes a lady ahead of me in the queue complained to the till attendant that there were very few staff in the store and the level of service was nothing like John Lewis. The till attendant said that they did keep staff numbers lower and that many of the provisions that used to exist to reward and motivate staff had been taken away.
Talk of cuts is not going away from public services and is now being intensified in this latest round of belt tightening. Is the long and short of all this talk of efficiency, of more for less, of cutting back spiralling us downwards into a place where are we in danger of losing the point of public services completely? Will what happened in retail services be the fate of public services? In our quest for ‘competitiveness’ and ‘efficiency’ in public services will we end up like the retail industry?
In a fascinating recent essay (Digging for the Future), Charles Leadbeater looks back at the movement of the Diggers and Levellers to see if there are any modern day lessons. He suggests that if we are to be successful this time the focus would need to shift toward:
- Seeing the life chances of the poorest as the prime measure of social and economic progress
- Investing in capabilities and focusing on prevention and engaging as many people as contributors in seeking solutions
- Sharing and collaborating more to drive innovation
His point seems to be that if the new Diggers are to be more successful than their predecessors they will need to work more astutely with mainstream political power and find an accommodation with the market rather than seek to operate entirely outside it. It all sounds good but he and others don’t seem to say how exactly this accommodation will be reached? Is there a toolkit somewhere?